Portuguesa FC vs UA Maracaibo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ZAM
0 - 0
POR
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ANZ
0 - 0
POR
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
LLA
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CFC
3 - 1
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
4 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
TAC
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TRU
1 - 1
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |