Portuguesa FC vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
6 - 0
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
OHI
1 - 1
POR
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
POR
1 - 1
GAL
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
BVS
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |