Portuguesa FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
YAR
0 - 1
POR
61%
23%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
LLA
26%
28%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
POR
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
ANZ
27%
30%
43%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 3
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |