Portuguesa FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
CFC
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MIN
3 - 2
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ARA
1 - 1
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
TRU
1 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
ARA
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
ZAM
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |