Portuguesa FC vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 3
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
IND
2 - 0
MIL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1973 |
SLO
2 - 0
MIL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
MIL
0 - 0
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1973 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |