Portuguesa FC vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
43%
23%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
POR
1 - 1
GAL
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
LIG
1 - 1
POR
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
5 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
GAL
0 - 0
POR
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
GAL
0 - 1
LIG
29%
22%
49%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIG
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
LIG
1 - 1
POR
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
LIG
4 - 2
GAL
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |