Portuguesa FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
2 - 0
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BVS
4 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
1 - 0
MEL
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SPC
3 - 2
MEL
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
OLI
4 - 0
MEL
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
AME
0 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
MUN
0 - 2
MEL
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |