Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 4
BVS
47%
23%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 1
PEÑ
22%
29%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
6 - 0
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
OHI
1 - 1
POR
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EST
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 4
BVS
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
LIB
2 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |