Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
SBO
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1977 |
POR
2 - 0
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
SBO
1 - 2
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1977 |
UNI
1 - 1
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
63%
19%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
SBO
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1977 |
UNI
2 - 1
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1977 |
SBO
1 - 3
EST
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
63%
19%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |