Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
ANZ
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
POR
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 1
CAR
27%
29%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
ESC
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
EST
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
4 - 1
ESC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
POR
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |