Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Portuguesa FC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
55%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 2
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
URE
1 - 1
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
POR
3 - 2
DEP
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MIN
4 - 2
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
TAC
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
BAH
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 3
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 0
BAH
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |