Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
LLA
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ANZ
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 2
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 2
YAR
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
3 - 1
LAR
5%
12%
83%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
ZUL
0 - 2
LAR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |