Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 2
TRU
20%
27%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
POR
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 2
LLA
65%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
LAR
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 0
MIR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 0
CFC
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
LAR
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -2 |