Portuguesa FC vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
58.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1977 |
POR
3 - 0
SCI
12%
22%
66%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1977 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
SBO
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1977 |
POR
2 - 0
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
SBO
1 - 2
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
SCI
0 - 1
CRZ
55%
26%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1976 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BYM
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 0
CRZ
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
CRZ
1 - 0
LON
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
CON
0 - 3
CRZ
15%
24%
61%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |