Portuguesa FC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
LIB
49%
23%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1977 |
CRZ
2 - 1
POR
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1977 |
SCI
2 - 1
POR
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1977 |
POR
0 - 4
CRZ
16%
26%
59%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
EST
2 - 3
CCP
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
NOB
3 - 2
CCP
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
CCP
1 - 3
CEN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1975 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |