Portuguesa FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
TRU
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
LAR
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
LLA
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 0
TRU
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
CFC
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 0
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 2
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 2
CFC
23%
24%
54%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |