Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
POR
5 - 0
POL
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 5
POR
14%
25%
61%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 3
POR
32%
32%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
MIR
69%
20%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
MON
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
URE
2 - 1
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 1
CAR
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
ATL
54%
26%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |