Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 1
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
TUC
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 2
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
TAC
12%
22%
66%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
MIN
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
LLA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIR
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |