Portuguesa FC vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 1
PEÑ
22%
29%
49%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
6 - 0
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
OHI
1 - 1
POR
61%
20%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
POR
1 - 1
GAL
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 4
BVS
52%
22%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
BVS
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |