Portuguesa FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
POR
2 - 0
MIL
41%
22%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAC
24%
21%
55%
|
73 | 31 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 3
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1972 |
CEN
3 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |