Portuguesa FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
35.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
0 - 1
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
CFC
21%
28%
51%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
TAC
19%
28%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
ZAM
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
MET
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ARA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
TAC
25%
30%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |