Portuguesa FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
DEP
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
ANZ
31%
25%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 1
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
MIN
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
TRU
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
ARA
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |