Portuguesa FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
49.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CFC
5 - 2
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ZAM
16%
26%
58%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
POR
72%
20%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
POR
0 - 4
LAR
20%
26%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 2
LLA
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
MIR
60%
23%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARA
50%
28%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 2
ANZ
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |