Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 2-2
Portugalete vs Union Sur Yaiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 2
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
BEA
39%
28%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 3
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAS
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
3 - 0
PAN
60%
21%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
YAI
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
LPA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 1
YAI
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |