Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Portugalete vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 2
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
LLA
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 0
POR
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LON
0 - 4
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
SNT
71%
19%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 2
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
PLA
5 - 0
BUR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 2
PLA
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 0
PUE
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
JER
1 - 3
PLA
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |