Portugalete vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.2%
79.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
RUN
2 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
PON
6%
17%
77%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
RSO
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
LAR
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEV
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
LEV
4 - 3
BET
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
HUE
1 - 1
LEV
28%
24%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LEV
2 - 1
RSO
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
RMC
0 - 5
LEV
5%
15%
80%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |