Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-1
Portugalete vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.9%
72.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SFC
0 - 1
POR
22%
26%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
SES
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SNT
0 - 6
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
AMU
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LEI
1 - 0
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GET
3 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
STU
1 - 0
GET
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 0
GET
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GET
3 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 0
GET
44%
25%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |