Portugalete vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
CUL
1 - 1
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
POR
3 - 2
SLA
15%
24%
62%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ZAL
2 - 2
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
LEM
35%
30%
35%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CDU
1 - 2
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
BUR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
27%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
AMU
1 - 1
BUR
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
ATH
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
OVI
0 - 1
BUR
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
RSO
3 - 1
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |