Portugalete vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
65.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
SDA
19%
26%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SDA
1 - 2
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
POR
2 - 0
ATH
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 1
POR
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ATH
0 - 1
RAC
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ARE
1 - 1
ATH
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPB
1 - 4
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ATH
2 - 1
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
POR
2 - 0
ATH
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |