Portugal U21 vs Ukraine U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
AND
1 - 2
POR
4%
11%
86%
|
83 | 30 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 3
POR
5%
12%
82%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 2
POR
22%
21%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
CRO
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
FRO
93%
6%
2%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SRB
1 - 0
UKR
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 1
UKR
81%
13%
7%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
NIR
1 - 2
UKR
11%
18%
72%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
UKR
2 - 1
SRB
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
0 - 3
UKR
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |