Portugal U21 vs Ukraine U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
IRL
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
CZE
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
NED
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
CZE
0 - 1
UKR
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
UKR
4 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
UKR
0 - 1
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
BLR
0 - 0
UKR
50%
23%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
GER
4 - 0
UKR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |