Portugal U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
POR
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
ENG
0 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CZE
1 - 0
POR
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
DEN
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ENG
3 - 1
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SWE
0 - 1
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 2
SWE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
SWE
4 - 1
ALB
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 0
SWE
15%
22%
62%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |