Portugal U21 vs Serbia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
GER
0 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NED
1 - 1
POR
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
CZE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 7
POR
3%
8%
89%
|
80 | 6 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SRB
3 - 1
GRC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ISR
0 - 0
SRB
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SVK
2 - 1
SRB
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SWE
0 - 2
SRB
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 0
SRB
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |