Portugal U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
SUI
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
CRO
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
IRL
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
SVN
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SWE
0 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
ITA
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
4 - 2
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ENG
1 - 3
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |