Portugal U21 vs Montenegro U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 2
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ISR
0 - 4
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
NED
2 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 3
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 2
SVN
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
1 - 2
MNE
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |