Portugal U21 vs Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
SWE
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
MKD
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
ENG
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 1
POR
13%
20%
68%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CYP
0 - 0
IRL
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
TUR
1 - 0
IRL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SUI
1 - 0
IRL
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
IRL
5 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
IRL
1 - 2
ARM
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |