Portugal U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 1
POR
13%
20%
68%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
NED
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
SWE
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
GRC
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ENG
2 - 0
UZB
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 25 | 54 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 2
GRC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 0
ENG
9%
18%
73%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ENG
6 - 3
MKD
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |