Portugal U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SWE
0 - 0
POR
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
BGR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
POR
3 - 0
SWE
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
SWE
0 - 0
NED
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
NED
1 - 2
FRA
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
NED
0 - 1
SUI
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NED
3 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
NED
2 - 1
DEN
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |