Portugal U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
SRB
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
GER
0 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NED
1 - 1
POR
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
CZE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
5 - 0
MKD
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
DEN
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
AUT
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 1
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |