Portugal U21 vs Slovakia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
RUS
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
RUS
4 - 1
POR
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
LVA
0 - 2
POR
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Slovakia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 2
SVK
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SVK
0 - 0
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 1
SVK
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
SVK
1 - 0
RUS
32%
23%
45%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
SVK
2 - 1
EST
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |