Portugal U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
FRO
93%
6%
2%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 1
POR
13%
19%
68%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
GRC
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
POR
6 - 1
BLR
89%
9%
2%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BLR
0 - 5
POR
7%
14%
79%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AND
0 - 3
CRO
4%
9%
88%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
BLR
0 - 1
CRO
7%
15%
78%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SVK
2 - 2
CRO
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 0
BLR
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 2
CRO
19%
21%
61%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |