Portugal U21 vs China U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
POR
3 - 2
ITA
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SUI
2 - 4
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
POR
7 - 0
LIE
92%
7%
1%
|
80 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
SUI
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
ROU
1 - 1
POR
13%
20%
66%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
China U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CHN
0 - 1
SYR
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHN
0 - 0
THA
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHN
2 - 1
TJK
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 7
THA
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
0 - 1
SWE
26%
23%
51%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -2 |