Portugal U20 vs Senegal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
ENG
2 - 2
POR
12%
17%
71%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
KOR
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 5
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
NED
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Senegal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 0
SEN
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SEN
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 0
CMR
40%
25%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 4
SEN
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |