Portugal U20 vs Montenegro U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 3
POR
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
BLR
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CPV
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 6 | 66 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
POR
4 - 0
ROU
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
CHN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Montenegro U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 0
MNE
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
ENG
5 - 0
MNE
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | -3 |