Portugal U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
MEX
2 - 2
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
NGA
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
EGY
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
EGY
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
PAN
0 - 0
NGA
26%
23%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
NGA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 4
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
URU
2 - 2
NGA
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
KOR
0 - 1
NGA
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |