Portugal U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
EGY
65%
20%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
EGY
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
MNE
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 3
POR
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 4
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
URU
2 - 2
NGA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
KOR
0 - 1
NGA
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 2
CMR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
MLI
0 - 2
NGA
16%
21%
63%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |