Portugal U20 vs Mali U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
4 - 1
AUS
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
AUS
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
SUI
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Mali U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 2
MLI
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MLI
3 - 0
RWA
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 1
MLI
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
MLI
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
MLI
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |