Portugal U20 vs England U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
ENG
78%
16%
7%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
POR
2 - 3
GHA
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
POR
5 - 0
CUB
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
KOR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 3
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ENG
2 - 2
CAN
16%
21%
62%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 1
TUR
17%
22%
62%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NED
2 - 3
ENG
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
ENG
90%
8%
2%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
ENG
78%
16%
7%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | -1 |