Portugal U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1991 |
POR
1 - 0
AUS
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1991 |
POR
2 - 1
MEX
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1991 |
POR
1 - 0
KOR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1991 |
POR
3 - 0
ARG
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
YUG
1 - 1
GER
33%
25%
41%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1987 |
CHI
0 - 4
GER
49%
23%
27%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
GER
1 - 1
SCO
72%
17%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
USA
1 - 2
GER
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1987 |
BGR
0 - 3
GER
53%
23%
25%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |