Portugal U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 3
FRA
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
GER
3 - 4
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SVN
1 - 3
POR
10%
15%
75%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 0
ITA
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
AUT
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |